Predictions >> Football
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Thailand Premier League
Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram Utd
Wednesday, March 26, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Description

Key Takeaways:
Lamphun Warrior's Matches Are Low-Scoring:

In their last 3 games, only one team scored.

• They have not scored more than one goal in their last 3 games.

• Similar trends apply to their home games as well.

• Buriram Utd's Away Matches Are High-Scoring:

• Both teams have scored in their last 4 away games.

• Each of those games had more than two goals.

• They are undefeated in their last 7 games and have an excellent away record (8-3-1).

Possible Predictions:
• Buriram Utd to win or draw – They are in great form and haven’t lost in their last 7 matches.

• Over 2.5 goals is likely – Buriram’s away games have been high-scoring, despite Lamphun’s low-scoring trend.

• Both teams to score (BTTS) is uncertain – Lamphun tends to have games where only one team scores, but Buriram's recent away form suggests both teams might find the net.

• Lamphun likely to score 0-1 goals – They struggle to score more than one goal per game.


Statistical Insights from Similar Matches
Based on historical data from 7 past matches with the same opening odds (5.9 - 4.05 - 1.25), we can extract some useful patterns:

Match Outcome Trends:
• Home Win: 42.86% (3 matches)

• Draw: 28.57% (2 matches)

• Away Win: 28.57% (2 matches)

This suggests that, despite Buriram being strong favorites based on the odds, there’s still a reasonable chance (42.86%) of a home win. The draw and away win percentages are similar, meaning an upset is not impossible.

Goal-Related Trends:
• Over 2.5 goals: 57.14% (4 matches)

• Under 2.5 goals: 42.86% (3 matches)

• Both teams to score (BTTS - Yes): 57.14% (4 matches)

• Both teams to score (BTTS - No): 42.86% (3 matches)

These numbers indicate a slight tendency towards high-scoring games and both teams finding the net, which aligns with Buriram's recent away matches.

Common Scorelines:
• 2-0 – 28.57% (2 matches)

• 2-6 – 14.29% (1 match)

• 2-2 – 14.29% (1 match)

• 2-1 – 14.29% (1 match)

• 1-1 – 14.29% (1 match)

The most frequent score was 2-0 (28.57%), which could indicate a potential clean sheet for the home team in some cases. However, a wild 2-6 result also appeared, showing that big scorelines are possible.

First-Half Insights:
• Home team leading at HT: 57.14%

• Away team leading at HT: 42.86%

• No draws at halftime (0.0%)

• At least 1 first-half goal (Over 0.5 HT): 100%

• Over 1.5 first-half goals: 42.86%

There’s a strong trend of early goals (100% of matches had at least one first-half goal), and the home team has been ahead 57.14% of the time.

Half-Time / Full-Time Outcomes:
• Home/Home (1/1): 42.86%

• Home/Draw (1/0): 14.29%

• Home/Away (1/2): 0%

• Draw/Draw (0/0): 0%

• Draw/Away (0/2): 0%

• Away/Away (2/2): 28.57%

• Away/Home (2/0): 14.29%

• Away/Draw (2/1): 0%

There’s a strong chance that if the home team is leading at halftime, they might go on to win (1/1: 42.86%). But 28.57% of the time, the away team has led at halftime and won the match (2/2).

Summary & Potential Betting Angles:
Match Result:

Slight historical edge for home wins (42.86%), but Buriram’s strong form makes an away win or draw more likely.

Given Buriram’s dominance this season, a Buriram win or Draw (X2) seems safer.

Goals Market:

• Over 2.5 goals (57.14%) is slightly favored.

• BTTS (Yes) at 57.14% suggests both teams might score.

• First-Half Trends:

• At least one first-half goal (Over 0.5 HT) is a strong trend (100%).

The home team has led at halftime 57.14% of the time, so a Halftime Double Chance (Home or Draw 1X HT) could be worth considering.

Potential Scoreline Predictions:

• Most frequent result: 2-0 (28.57%)

• Other possibilities: 2-6, 2-2, 2-1, 1-1

Final Thoughts:
Given Buriram’s current form (undefeated in 7 games, strong away record), they are still favorites despite the historical trends slightly favoring home wins.

Goals seem likely, but Lamphun's defensive trend (low-scoring matches) contradicts Buriram’s high-scoring away form, making Over 2.5 goals risky but possible.

Buriram to win, but not necessarily easily.

Predictions & Betting Tips

Tip : Team 2 will Win

Status : WON

Odds : 1.23

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